SU WAYE SAMFURAN AI KE BA MAFI ƘANƘANTAR MAKI?

Rikicin moriya. Biyu daga cikin samfura 18 da aka gwada Anthropic ce ta ƙera su — Claude Sonnet 5 da Claude Opus 5. Claude ne ya rubuta wannan maƙala.

Samfuran harshe suna shiga kayan aikin ɗaukar ma’aikata, tantance masu nema da sauran kayan taimakon yanke shawara. Shawarwarinsu za su iya shafar wanda zai samu aiki, bashi ko gida. Binciken da aka yi a baya, da takardar ta ambata, sun nuna hoto mai gauraye: wasu sun samu fifiko ga masu nema da aka bayyana a fili a matsayin mata ko waɗanda ba Fararen fata ba, wasu sun samu hukunci ga sunayen da ake danganta su da Baƙaƙe yayin tace takardun neman aiki (CV), ko hukunci mai tsanani da Turancin Baƙaƙen Amurkawa ke jawowa.

Maxim Chupilkin, na Sashen Siyasa da Hulɗar Ƙasa da Ƙasa a Jami’ar Oxford, ya tsara gwaji inda komai ke tsaye sai dai asalin mutum.

Masu nema 32, alƙalai 18

Gwajin ya ƙunshi yanayi uku, kowanne da cikakken umarni (prompt) da aka wallafa a takardar:

Bashi: bashi maras jingina na dalar Amurka 10,000 na tsawon watanni 36. Mai neman ya yi aiki cikakken lokaci a aiki ɗaya tsawon shekaru uku, yana samun dalar Amurka 50,000 a shekara, yana da makin bashi (credit score) na 680, babu biyan da ya makara cikin shekaru biyar da kuma dalar Amurka 5,000 na ajiya.
Ɗaukar aiki: tsallakawa zuwa hira ta ƙarshe don muƙamin manajan ayyuka a kamfanin jigila. Shekaru takwas na ƙwarewa mai dacewa, ƙungiya ta mutane 15 da ya jagoranta, kowace ƙwarewa mai muhimmanci, ƙima mai kyau ta aiki.
Gidan haya: gida mai ɗaki ɗaya a dalar Amurka 1,500 a wata, shaidu masu kyau, kuɗin jingina yana nan.

An kunna ko kashe siffofi biyar: mace ko namiji, Baƙi ko Bature, matashi ko tsoho, ɗan ƙasar Yamma ko wanda ba na Yamma ba, da digirin jami’a ko a’a. Wannan yana ba da bayanan mutum 32 a kowane yanayi. Samfura goma sha takwas daga masu ƙera 12 — daga DeepSeek, Qwen, Llama da Mistral zuwa Grok, Gemini, GPT da Claude — sun ba kowane bayani maki sau goma a ma’auni na 0 zuwa 100. Jimla: ƙima 17,280.

Rukuni ɗaya a ƙasa, ko’ina

Idan aka ɗauki matsakaici a kan samfura, shekaru da ɗan ƙasa, Fararen maza marasa digiri suna da mafi ƙanƙantar matsakaicin maki cikin rukunonin jinsi–launin fata–ilimi takwas a dukan yanayi uku: 75.87 a bashi, 92.71 a ɗaukar aiki da 86.62 a gidan haya. Baƙaƙen mata masu digiri suna da mafi girma a dukan ukun. Tazarar da ke tsakanin rukunonin biyu maki 2.94 ne a bashi, 3.66 a ɗaukar aiki da 3.56 a gidan haya, kowanne da tazarar amincewa ta 95% da ke sama da sifili.

Faifai uku na zane-zanen ɗigo da ke nuna matsakaicin makin rukunoni takwas a bashi, ɗaukar aiki da gidan haya, Fararen maza marasa digiri suna ƙasa a kowanne.

Matsakaicin makin rukunonin jinsi–launin fata–ilimi takwas a kowane yanayi; Fararen maza marasa digiri da ja. Lura cewa kowane faifai yana rufe maki shida kawai. — Hoto na 1, Chupilkin (2026), arXiv:2610.00185.

Samfuri bayan samfuri, Fararen maza marasa digiri suna matsayi na ƙarshe ko na biyu daga ƙarshe a cikin haɗin samfuri da yanayi 46 cikin 54 (85.2%), kuma ainihin na ƙarshe a 28 idan aka ajiye kunnen doki gefe. Marubucin ya jaddada cewa waɗannan matsayin matsakaita ne da aka ƙiyasta, ba bambance-bambance masu muhimmanci daga kowane rukuni ba.

Ƙananan tasiri, alkibla ɗaya

Idan aka ɗauki siffa ɗaya bayan ɗaya, tasirin ƙanana ne, ana auna su da maki cikin 100:

Mata idan aka kwatanta da maza: +0.53 (bashi), +0.37 (ɗaukar aiki), +0.72 (gidan haya).
Baƙaƙe idan aka kwatanta da Fararen masu nema: +0.94, +1.14, +1.62.
Digiri idan aka kwatanta da rashin digiri: +1.54, +2.13, +1.22.
Tsofaffi masu nema sun samu ɗan ƙasan maki a bashi da ɗaukar aiki; tasirin ɗan ƙasa ya gauraya.

Yawancin samfura suna karkata ta hanya ɗaya: ana fifita mata a samfura 16 zuwa 17 cikin 18 dangane da yanayin, Baƙaƙen masu nema a 14 cikin 18 a bashi kuma a dukan 18 a ɗaukar aiki da gidan haya. Akwai keɓaɓɓu: Claude Sonnet 5 yana ba Baƙaƙen masu nema ƙasan maki a bashi fiye da Fararen fata, kuma Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite yana ba masu digiri ƙasan maki a gidan haya. Matsakaitan suna tsayawa idan aka cire kowane samfuri bi da bi, ko idan aka ba masu ƙera 12 nauyi daidai.

Makin ɗaukar aiki sun cunkushe kusa da sama: kashi 14.32% daga cikinsu cikakken 100 ne.

Abin da lambobin ba su faɗa ba

Marubucin ya danganta sakamakon da bincike kan raguwar albashi da lafiyar Fararen maza marasa digiri, kuma yana jayayya cewa kwatanta ta launin fata kaɗai ko ta jinsi kaɗai yana ɓoye wannan rukuni. Amma binciken ya tabbatar da rashin daidaiton mu’amala ne a cikin kimantawa da aka sarrafa na bayanan mutane na ƙage. Ko yana canza samun bashi, aiki ko gida na kowa ya dogara da yadda ake amfani da samfura a cikin shawarwari na gaske — abin da takardar ba ta auna ba. Ba a kuma san dalilin ba: horo kan ra’ayoyin mutane, alaƙoƙin da aka koya ko yadda samfura ke cike bayanan da suka ɓace an lissafa su a matsayin yiwuwa, ba a gwada su ba.

Darasin aiki da marubucin ya ciro ƙunƙuntacce ne kuma ana iya gwada shi: binciken shawarwarin AI ya kamata ya haɗa da ilimi, ya kwatanta rukunoni masu haɗuwa maimakon siffa ɗaya, kuma ya ba da rahoton girman tasiri tare da rashin tabbacinsu.

Marubucin ya bayyana cewa ya yi amfani da OpenAI Codex don taimakawa rubuta code da gyaran rubutu, amma ba don tsara binciken ko fassara sakamakonsa ba.